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Emergency Physician Workforce Calculator

Introduction

Based on 2005 national data, as published by Camargo et al, this calculator determines the year the board-certified emergency physician workforce will be sufficient to staff all US emergency departments. Calculations are based on the following, admittedly conservative, assumptions:

  • No change in the national ED visit volume (115 million ED visits per 2005 NEDI-USA).
  • No change in the minimum number of full-time equivalent (FTE) ED physicians needed to staff all US emergency departments: 40,030 (assuming 5.35 FTE minimum).
  • Each EP sees 2.8 patients/hour* and works 48 wks/year for 40 hrs/week, with 34% of their time spent on non-clinical requirements. Thus, the average EP sees 3,548 visits per year.

The calculator allows users to modify the following assumptions to calculate the year in which all US emergency departments will be staffed by board-certified emergency physicians.


Assumptions

Variables User Values  Examples
Percent of present workforce that retires or dies per year:  %       0%
Number of newly board-certified ED physicians per year:        1350
Percent of graduates willing to work in any ED:  %       100%




      

Results

Number of years until workforce is sufficient to staff all US emergency departments:  years

Year workforce is sufficient to staff all US emergency departments:  

*To view a calculator that uses 2.0 pts/hour, click here. To view a calculator that uses 3.5 pts/hour, click here.
Note: The calculator returns 'never' for scenarios where the net impact is negative (i.e., fewer board-certified EPs each year).

For more information, please contact EMNet staff at emnet@partners.org.

©2014 EMNet Last Updated: 04/21/10 as